Hopes of an early resolution to the Greek Crisis have
resulted in a decent relief rally in nearly all global markets including India.
Any resolution at this stage would at best postpone the crisis by some months
as the root cause of the Greek Problem cannot be resolved without some
outstanding fiscal reforms and restructuring. Hence in all likelihood this
rally would get sold into sooner than later. Domestic situation, though, is far
more encouraging. Not only have the monsoons picked up but the Finance Minister
has finally announced the much awaited capital infusion into public sector
banks. The first leg of this infusion over the next 3-6 months should revive
credit growth and help turn around the economy. A very reasonable MSP increase
is also extremely positive as it shows willingness of the government to take
politically tough decisions.
Therefore while from
a trading or short term perspective we are likely to hit a ceiling soon,
declines should be used to buy with a six months or more perspective.
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